BASIC NOTES

Uranium Companies

There are very few pure uranium companies. Most companies, especially the small exploration type, are active in more than the uranium industry. This blog makes no attempt to guage the percentage of a companies activity that are related to the finding, mining or processing of uraniun. They all do, however, have some uranium activities (to the best of our review).

Merv's Uranium Indices

I have developed two Uranium Indices. They each have the same component stocks but are calculated using different methodologies. My weekly Index is based upon the average weekly performance of the component stocks. My daily Index is based upon the daily average of the component stocks open, high, low and close prices along with the daily average volume of all component stocks.

Click on the chart or table to enlage the view.



02 February 2009

Merv's Daily Commentary, 02 Feb 2009


After The Close, 02 Feb 2009

Merv’s Daily Uranium Index
Market Data

Open: 136.03
High: 138.64
Low: 128.89
Close: 133.24
Volume: 4051

Note that the volume is an average volume of round lot sales for the 5 0 component stocks. For total volume, multiply by 5000.

It was a little scary today with the uranium stocks declining but in the end it still didn’t change much. I was of the opinion that the “box” support line might get broken but that the up trending channel should hold. Well today the Index closed right on the support line ready for a downside break. However, I still think that the channel will hold as the down side moves are not that strong.

The Merv’s Daily Uranium Index closed lower by 3.82 points or 2.79%. There were 9 winners, 31 losers and 10 unchanged. Although the “breadth” of the market was definitely to the down side, with 10 unchanged it looks more like drifting with a lack of conviction rather than bearish selling. All five largest stocks were losers today. Cameco lost 3.2%, Paladin lost 0.4%, Uranium One lost 8.7%, Uranium Participation lost 2.5% and USEC lost 0.6%. The best winner on the day was Vena Inc. (another rare trader recently) with a gain of 17.7% while the worst loser was East Asia Minerals with a loss of 15.0%.

On the intermediate term the Index is getting close to the up trending moving average line but still remains slightly above the line. The momentum indicator has moved a little bit lower below its negative trigger line but is still not far below its neutral line. It remains, for now, above its up trending line. The volume indicator has dropped just a hair below its trigger line but the trigger is still pointing upwards. All in all the intermediate term rating remains + NEUTRAL.

On the short term the Index is drifting lower below its negative sloping moving average line. The momentum indicator continues to move lower below its negative trigger line. The indicator has also just crossed below its neutral line into its negative zone. As for the daily volume action, that continues below its 15 day average volume. The short term rating continues as a BEARISH rating.

As for the direction of least resistance, I still haven’t given up hope and continue with the lateral direction. Maybe tomorrow, if the Index make a significant drop. I’ll change but for now, lateral remains the direction of least resistance.

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