BASIC NOTES

Uranium Companies

There are very few pure uranium companies. Most companies, especially the small exploration type, are active in more than the uranium industry. This blog makes no attempt to guage the percentage of a companies activity that are related to the finding, mining or processing of uraniun. They all do, however, have some uranium activities (to the best of our review).

Merv's Uranium Indices

I have developed two Uranium Indices. They each have the same component stocks but are calculated using different methodologies. My weekly Index is based upon the average weekly performance of the component stocks. My daily Index is based upon the daily average of the component stocks open, high, low and close prices along with the daily average volume of all component stocks.

Click on the chart or table to enlage the view.



20 May 2009

Merv's Daily Commentary 20 May 2009


After The Close, 20 May 2009

Merv’s Daily Uranium Index
Market Data

Open: 185.74
High: 191.89
Low: 180.68
Close: 184.08
Volume: 6957


Note that the volume is an average volume of round lot sales for the 5 0 component stocks. For total volume, multiply by 5000.

Well, we’re now up to two days in a row on the up side. These run-away markets can’t last long. Unfortunately, it does look like the Daily Index wants to move lower. The previous recent high at 195 seems to be setting itself up as a resistance. We should know within the next day or two, like before the week-end if we are or are not in a reversal situation. The normal indicators are not yet in a reversal mode but the action today seems to suggest some weakness coming into the market near the end of the day. Maybe it will not carry over into tomorrow but we’ll have to wait and see. In the mean time let’s go through our normal routine.

The Merv’s Daily Uranium Index closed higher by 1.28 points or 0.70%. There were 19 winners, 23 losers and 8 going nowhere. The larger number of losers makes sense when we see that the AVERAGE price of a component stock lost 0.1%, not much but a downside number in any case. Of the five largest stocks only one was on the down side. Cameco gained 1.4%, First Uranium gained 0.3%, Paladin gained 1.4%, Uranium One was the lone loser with a loss of 1.6% and USEC gained 2.6%. The best winner on the day was Uranium Energy with a gain of 22.9% while the worst loser was Xemplar Energy with a loss of 13.9%.

With the Daily Index being so far ahead of its moving average line not much has changed in the intermediate term. The Index remains above its positive moving average line and the momentum indicator remains in its positive zone although it is very slightly below its negative trigger line. The volume indicator, although tracking a basically lateral path, has an upside bias and entered new all time highs today. For now the only rating remains a BULLISH rating.

On the short term we are getting some whip-saw effects but nothing serious. The Index closed above its moving average line and the line is pointing upwards. The momentum indicator remains in its positive zone and remains just above its positive trigger line. The daily volume activity is not all that great but it isn’t pathetic either. For the short term the rating remains BULLISH.

As for the direction of least resistance, I will remain with the lateral as I don’t see any significant move yet. From the daily action the odds seem to be in favor of a downside move but even so I don’t think it will be a large one.

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