BASIC NOTES

Uranium Companies

There are very few pure uranium companies. Most companies, especially the small exploration type, are active in more than the uranium industry. This blog makes no attempt to guage the percentage of a companies activity that are related to the finding, mining or processing of uraniun. They all do, however, have some uranium activities (to the best of our review).

Merv's Uranium Indices

I have developed two Uranium Indices. They each have the same component stocks but are calculated using different methodologies. My weekly Index is based upon the average weekly performance of the component stocks. My daily Index is based upon the daily average of the component stocks open, high, low and close prices along with the daily average volume of all component stocks.

Click on the chart or table to enlage the view.



27 October 2008

Merv's Daily Commentary, 27 Oct 2008


After The Close, 27 Oct 2008

Merv’s Daily Uranium Index
Market Data

Open: 102.12
Hugh: 104.22
Low: 92.76
Close: 95.18
Volume: 3846

Note that the volume is an average volume of round lot sales for the 50 component stocks. For total volume, multiply by 5000.

Although the Daily Index closed at its lowest level in this bear market the close was not below previous intraday lows. The action remains within that box that has been in effect for the past three weeks. As such nothing much has changed from the week-end analysis other than the lower close. Well, okay, there may have been some minor changes in the various indicators but nothing has changed from the ratings stand point.

The Merv’s Daily Uranium Index closed lower by 8.75 points or 8.42%. A reasonably bearish move but as the chart shows not a move of significance. There were 7 winners, 35 losers and 8 going nowhere. As for the five largest stocks by market value they were all in the negative side. Cameco lost 9.6%, Denison lost 16.0%, Paladin lost 4.1%, Uranium One lost 19.0% and USEC lost 6.9%. The winner of the day was Western Uranium with a gain of 10.2% while the loser on the day was Globex Mining with a loss of 32.6%.

Looking at the chart and intermediate term indicators about the only change from the week-end analysis is the fact that the momentum indicator has dropped decisively below its trigger line and the trigger has now turned downward. So, the rating remains BEARISH.

As for the short term, well the momentum indicator has dropped further below its trigger line and has entered the oversold zone. The trigger, however, remains positive for now. The short term rating therefore remains BEARISH.

Trying to guess the immediate direction of least resistance I will stick with my week-end assessment that the indicators should have me going to the down side but I’ll stick to the neutral until the Index breaks through its box on a closing basis.

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